2016-06-28

Future of Europe and Demographic Complexities


By Dr. Salam AL Rabadi 

The Clash of Civilizations: is a high-impact theory in the interpretation of geo-political conflicts. This 21st century theory claims that future conflicts will take place largely in cultural lines between countries and communities or within the same community.  This theory believes that immigration and multiculturalism will lead to the creation of new minorities and ethnicities. It will work to tear communities and nations.

It is likely to continue to cling to the idea or strategy that political boundaries should be compatible with the cultural borders internally and externally. Therefore, the European countries should be ready to deal with such crucial issues which have profound political implications. Which are closely linked with the path of the thorniest issues such as: Security, Immigration and Integration, Multiculturalism and Human rights, Demography and Welfare State.

Do we need to try new and different ways in how understand the future of Europe? Historically, the reality of the extinction of people’s culture and civilizations is not impossible. It could happen. That’s it historical constant? This fact must be taken into account when trying to address the issue: How for the first time the birth rate in the West has fallen below replacement level? Based on how to deal with the inter-relationships between each of the demography, politics, culture, economy, security and human rights we can put a set of strategic controversial questions:
A) Where are the limits of cultural demographic security? Can use multiculturalism policies in influential political activities able to fold European countries? Why the normative dimension is the main absentee when discussing multiculturalism issues in European countries?
B) Why do most academic studies focusing on economic analysis only when dealing with issues of migration and demography? Why there is not focusing on political vision? As well as the direct disregard of cultural analysis?
C) How will European leaders and elites face all of these challenges and crises?
It seems that traditional basis of sociology and political science (study of society and the state) are outdated. Because we live in a world without borders. This requires moving away from social or societal inertia. So the focus should be on the study of material and cultural movement. And develop a new social science: Science Beyond the Communities. Accordingly, there are methodological difficulties that we face in the demographic issue:
A) How can discuss and analyse a range of approaches and phenomena correlated significantly to some extent. Although it is methodologically it may serve different analytical purposes extends beyond the boundaries of academic philosophy?
B) The nature of the relationship between European Communities and immigrant communities reflects a new phenomenon adding a new dimension to the theoretical understanding of the process of social identity and making Anthropology in contact with law studies and political science and a controversy among the branches of scientific knowledge.
C) The boundary between what seen as the biological differences between the groups and cultural differences acquired are often blurry in practical terms.

Thus, demography problematics (since it contains a new threat to the European Union) can not be understood without the presence of a new kind of political analysis. As the crisis of demography and migration are becoming visible in many European societies, so that it became impossible to ignore those issues. And logically this demographic reality puts a lot of models and ideas in the case of the dialectic with what could be called: the demographic complexity. And this new route requires the adoption of a new vision to be more accommodated to developments at the local and global levels.

Remaining possibilities of optimism or pessimism are subject to the balance of interests between countries. But at the community level within Europe the results will depend on how to find solutions or explanation for the   following discrepancy. How can we adopt the principles of the free market economy to strengthen the welfare state and in contrast, at the political level, we want to stay in a closed club on the same culturally and nationally? And now often seen for immigrants in Europe as a source of threat (example: demonstrations against foreigners. as PEGIDA Movement). Seems to be on Europe find a new way to deal with immigrants. Before reaching the time maybe we wonder:
Who needs to merger: Immigrants or European people?





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